After Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 34-point performance against the Spurs, the NBA conversation has shifted fast. As a result, the debate over the league’s next defining superstar is everywhere.

Meanwhile, Victor Wembanyama remains the most hyped young talent in basketball. Consequently, fans and analysts are asking a bold question: is the 2026 NBA MVP race already decided?

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s Case for MVP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been dominant all season. More importantly, he has done it with efficiency and consistency.

According to NBA.com player data, SGA continues to rank among the league leaders in scoring and usage. Therefore, his MVP credentials grow stronger each week.

Against San Antonio, he controlled the pace. In addition, he punished mismatches and closed the game with authority.

  • Elite scoring efficiency
  • Improved defensive impact
  • Leadership on a playoff contender

As a result, many analysts already view him as the MVP frontrunner.

Victor Wembanyama’s Long-Term Argument

Victor Wembanyama represents something different. Rather than polish, he offers unprecedented potential.

At 7-foot-4, Wembanyama impacts the game on both ends. For example, his rim protection and shooting range are already rare for a player his age.

As noted by ESPN NBA coverage, his statistical growth has been steady. However, team success remains a major factor in MVP voting.

The “New Face of the NBA” Debate

The NBA thrives on star power. Therefore, the league is always searching for its next global icon.

SGA represents reliability and excellence. In contrast, Wembanyama represents upside and imagination.

Historically, MVP voters reward winning. As a result, players on elite teams often have the edge.

What Could Still Change the Race?

  • Team records in the Western Conference
  • Injury durability over a full season
  • Defensive Player of the Year consideration
  • Narrative momentum late in the season

Therefore, while SGA leads today, the race is far from locked.

Is the 2026 MVP Race Really Over?

Not quite. Although Gilgeous-Alexander holds the advantage, MVP seasons are rarely decided early.

Wembanyama’s trajectory suggests a late-season surge is possible. Meanwhile, voter fatigue and media narratives can shift quickly.

Ultimately, this rivalry may define the NBA’s next decade. As a result, every matchup between these two stars will carry extra weight.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander looks like the MVP favorite right now. However, Victor Wembanyama remains the league’s ultimate wildcard.

For fans, that uncertainty is a win. Consequently, the 2026 NBA MVP race may be just getting started.

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